Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.189916 0.212192 0.235342 0.261139 0.289027 0.318212 0.351004
2025-01-19 0.158427 0.188565 0.221339 0.259439 0.302322 0.348905 0.403137
2025-01-26 0.137995 0.173502 0.213642 0.261980 0.318197 0.381106 0.456399
2025-02-02 0.124966 0.164912 0.211623 0.269590 0.338878 0.418328 0.515567
2025-02-09 0.111165 0.153683 0.205024 0.270546 0.350855 0.444987 0.562505
2025-02-16 0.101587 0.146514 0.202355 0.275406 0.366918 0.476225 0.615003
2025-02-23 0.094964 0.142334 0.202762 0.283566 0.386738 0.511994 0.673324
2025-03-02 0.085092 0.132893 0.195573 0.281327 0.392988 0.530814 0.710923
2025-03-09 0.077474 0.125786 0.190786 0.281606 0.401989 0.552808 0.752455
2025-03-16 0.070166 0.118440 0.185067 0.280095 0.408245 0.571095 0.789321
2025-03-23 0.066056 0.115329 0.184842 0.285733 0.423768 0.601267 0.841535
2025-03-30 0.060847 0.110125 0.181274 0.286437 0.432478 0.622560 0.882515
2025-04-06 0.055689 0.104736 0.177311 0.286640 0.440826 0.644014 0.924807
2025-04-13 0.050532 0.098899 0.172289 0.284996 0.446417 0.661778 0.962470
2025-04-20 0.047019 0.095406 0.170505 0.287821 0.458134 0.687805 1.011343
2025-04-27 0.045114 0.094419 0.172426 0.296044 0.477541 0.724475 1.074884
2025-05-04 0.041729 0.090597 0.169677 0.297100 0.486629 0.747119 1.119856
2025-05-11 0.039535 0.088666 0.169759 0.302332 0.501735 0.778182 1.176559
2025-05-18 0.038227 0.088213 0.172151 0.311096 0.522093 0.816778 1.243992
2025-05-25 0.034849 0.083636 0.167508 0.308698 0.525867 0.832164 1.279747
2025-06-01 0.032257 0.080300 0.164707 0.308999 0.533527 0.853007 1.323182
2025-06-08 0.029551 0.076482 0.160843 0.307380 0.538144 0.869479 1.360644
2025-06-15 0.028303 0.075474 0.161751 0.313430 0.554434 0.902803 1.421991